New Housing Construction as a Factor of Increasing the Vulnerability of Large Cities Population to Natural and Man-Made Hazards
https://doi.org/10.21686/2073-1051-2022-2-159-176
Abstract
The evolutionary socio-economic development of cities can be greatly accelerated under the stimulating effect of housing, commercial or infrastructure construction projects that change the structural and functional organization of the urban continuum in a short time. At the same time, the existing official statistical data have low spatial and temporal detail – most of the demographic variables have an annual representation in the context of municipalities, which does not allow considering local transformations. The use of mobile operators data and information on new housing construction makes it possible to identify the directions of morphological and functional transformation of urban space, linking the directions and scale of changes with potential natural and man-made risks for the study areas.
Keywords
About the Authors
S. V. BadinaRussian Federation
Svetlana V. Badina - Cand. Sc. (Geography), Senior Researcher of the Research Laboratory “Regional Policy and Regional Investment Processes”, Plekhanov Russian University of Economics.
36, Stremyanny Lane, Moscow, 117997.
R. A. Babkin
Russian Federation
Roman A. Babkin - Cand. Sc. (Geography), Senior Researcher of the Research Laboratory “Regional Policy and Regional Investment Processes”, Plekhanov Russian University of Economics.
36, Stremyanny Lane, Moscow, 117997.
N. M. Skobeev
Russian Federation
Nikita M. Skobeev - Engineer of the Department of Socio-Economic Geography, Institute of Geography of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
29, Building 4, Staromonetny Lane, Moscow, 119017.
References
1. Cutter S.L., Boruff B.J., Shirley W.L. Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards, Social science quarterly, 2003, Vol. 84, No. 2, pp. 242–261.
2. De Oliveira Mendes J.M. Social Vulnerability Indexes as Planning Tools: Beyond the Preparedness Paradigm, Journal of Risk Research, 2009, Vol. 12, No. 1, pp. 43–58.
3. Balica S.F., Popescu I., Beevers L., Wright N.G. Parametric and Physically Based Modelling Techniques for Flood Risk and Vulnerability Assessment: A comparison, Environmental modelling & Software, 2013, Vol. 41, pp. 84–92.
4. Kuhlicke C., Scolobig A., Tapsell S., Steinführer A., De Marchi B. Contextualizing Social Vulnerability: Findings from Case Studies Across Europe, Natural Hazards, 2011, Vol. 58, No. 2, pp. 789–810.
5. Holand I.S., Lujala P., Rød J.K. Social Vulnerability Assessment for Norway: A Quantitative Approach, Norsk Geografisk Tidsskrift – Norwegian Journal of Geography, 2011, Vol. 65, No. 1, pp. 1–17.
6. Badina S.V., Babkin R.A. Otsenka uiazvimosti nalichnogo naseleniia Moskvy k prirodnym i tekhnogennym opasnostiam [Assessment of the Vulnerability of the Present Population of Moscow to Natural and Man-Made Hazards], InterKarto. InterGIS [InterKarto. InterGIS], 2021, Vol. 27, No. 4, pp. 184–201. (In Russ.).
7. Badina S.V., Babkin R.A. Otsenka uiazvimosti nalichnogo naseleniia gorodov k prirodnym i tekhnogennym opasnostiam s ispol’zovaniem dannykh mobil’nykh operatorov [Assessment of the Vulnerability of the Actual Population of Cities to Natural and Man-Made Hazards Using Data from Mobile Operators], Zakonomernosti formirovaniia i vozdeistviia morskikh, atmosfernykh opasnykh iavlenii i katastrof na pribrezhnuiu zonu RF v usloviiakh global’nykh klimaticheskikh i industrial’nykh vyzovov (Opasnye iavleniia – III): materialy III Mezhdunarodnoi nauchnoi konferentsii [Patterns of the Formation and Impact of Marine, Atmospheric Hazards and Disasters on the Coastal Zone of the Russian Federation in the Context of Global Climatic and Industrial Challenges (Hazardous Phenomena - III): Materials of the III International Scientific Conferences], Rostov-na-Donu, IuNTs RAN, 2021, pp. 325–329. (In Russ.).
8. Kuricheva E.K., Kurichev N.K. Vzaimosviaz’ zhilishchnogo stroitel’stva v Moskovskoi aglomeratsii i migratsiia v stolichnyi region [The Relationship of Housing Construction in the Moscow Agglomeration and Migration to the Capital Region], Izvestia RAN. Seriia geograficheskaia [Izvestiya RAN. Geographic Series], 2018, No. 1, pp. 5-20. (In Russ.).
9. Popov A.A., Saul’skaia T.D., Shatilo D.P. Promyshlennye zony g. Moskvy kak faktor ekologicheskoi situatsii i differentsiatsii tsen na zhil’e [Industrial Zones of Moscow as a Factor in the Environmental Situation and Housing Price Differentiation], Ekologiia i promyshlennost’ Rossii [Ecology and Industry of Russia], 2016, Vol. 20, No. 2, pp. 32–38. (In Russ.).
10. Kurichev N.K., Kuricheva E.K. Prostranstvennaia struktura zhilishchnogo stroitel’stva v Moskovskoi aglomeratsii: radial’no-sektoral’naia differentsiatsiia [Spatial Structure of Housing Construction in the Moscow Agglomeration: Radial-Sectoral Differentiation], Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta. Nauki o Zemle [Bulletin of St. Petersburg University. Earth Sciences], 2020, No. 65 (1), pp. 74–95. (In Russ.).
11. Kutepov V.M., Kozliakova I.V., Anisimova N.G., Eremina O.N., Kozhevnikova I.A. Otsenka karstovoi i karstovo-suffozionnoi opasnosti v proekte krupnomasshtabnogo geologicheskogo kartirovaniia g. Moskvy [Assessment of Karst and Karst-Suffosion Hazard in the Project of Large-Scale Geological Mapping of Moscow], Geoekologiia. Inzhenernaia geologiia. Gidrogeologiia. Geokriologiia [Geoecology. Engineering geology. Hydrogeology. Geocryology], 2011, No. 3, pp. 215–226. (In Russ.).
12. Kochev A.D., Chertkov L.G., Zaionts I.L. Karstovo-suffozionnye protsessy na territorii g. Moskvy i problema otsenki ikh opasnosti [Karst-Suffosion Processes on the Territory of Moscow and the Problem of Assessing Their Danger], Inzhenernaia geologiia [Engineering Geology], 2018, Vol. 23, No. 6, pp. 24–32. (In Russ.).
13. Badina S.V., Babkin R.A., Berezniatskii A.N. Perspektivy primeneniia dannykh sotovykh operatorov v issledovaniiakh prirodnogo i tekhnogennogo riska [Prospects for the Use of Data from Cellular Operators in the Study of Natural and Technogenic Risk], Federalizm [Federalism], 2021, Vol. 26, No. 4 (104), pp. 111–126. (In Russ.).
14. Baburin V.L., Badina S.V. Otsenka sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo potentsiala territorii, podverzhennoi neblagopriiatnym i opasnym prirodnym iavleniiam [Assessment of the Socio-Economic Potential of the Territory Subject to Adverse and Dangerous Natural Phenomena], Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriia 5: Geografiia [Bulletin of the Moscow University. Series 5: Geography], 2015, No. 5, pp. 9–16. (In Russ.).
15. Kuricheva E.K. Territorial’naia transformatsiia novoi Moskvy pod vozdeistviem zhilishchnogo stroitel’stva [Territorial Transformation of the New Moscow Under the Influence of Housing Construction], Regional’nye issledovaniia [Regional Studies], 2014, Vol. 43, No. 1, pp. 50–61. (In Russ.).
16. Stroitel’stvo: zhilishchnoe i sotsial’no-kul’turnoe stroitel’stvo [Construction: Housing and Socio-Cultural Construction], Federal’naia sluzhba gosudarstvennoi statistiki [Federal State Statistics Service]. (In Russ.). Available at: https://gks.ru/bgd/regl/b21_14p/Main.htm (accessed 01 June 2022).
17. Zubarevich N.V. Sotsial’naia geografiia rossiiskogo krizisa [Social Geography of the Russian Crisis], Obshchestvennye nauki i sovremennost’ [Social Sciences and Modernity], 2016, No. 5, pp. 5–18. (In Russ.).
18. Naselenie: koeffitsienty migratsionnogo prirosta na 10 000 chelovek naseleniia [Population: Coefficients of Migration Growth Per 10,000 People], Federal’naia sluzhba gosudarstvennoi statistiki [Federal State Statistics Service]. (In Russ.). Available at: https://gks.ru/bgd/regl/b21_14p/Main.htm (accessed 01 June 2022).
19. Uroven’ zhizni: zarabotnaia plata [Standard of living: wages], Upravlenie Federal’noi sluzhby gosudarstvennoi statistiki po g. Moskve i Moskovskoi oblasti [Office of the Federal Service state statistics for Moscow and the Moscow region]. (In Russ.). Available at: https://mosstat.gks.ru/folder/64641 (accessed 01 June 2022).
20. Sredniaia tsena 1 kv. m obshchei ploshchadi kvartir na rynke zhil’ia[The Average Price of 1 Square. M of the Total Area of Apartments in the Housing Market], EMISS [EMISS]. (In Russ.). Available at: https://www.fedstat.ru/indicator/31452 (accessed 01 June 2022).
21. Gunko M., Bogacheva P., Medvedev A., Kashnitsky I. Path-dependent development of mass housing in Moscow, Russia, Housing Estates in Europe. Poverty, Ethnic Segregation and Policy Challenges. The Urban Book Series, Cham, 2018, pp. 289–311.
22. Kuricheva E.K., Kurichev N.K. Mekhanizmy ekstensivnogo i intensivnogo razvitiia Moskovskoi aglomeratsii na makro- i mikrourovniakh [Mechanisms of Extensive and Intensive Development of the Moscow Agglomeration at Macro- and Microlevels], Problemy razvitiia territorii [Problems of Territory Development], 2018, No. 3 (95), pp. 90–106. (In Russ.).
23. Makhrova A.G., Babkin R.A., Kazakov E.E. Dinamika dnevnogo i nochnogo naseleniia kak indikator strukturno-funktsional’nykh izmenenii territorii goroda v zone vliianiia Moskovskogo tsentral’nogo kol’tsa s ispol’zovaniem dannykh operatorov sotovoi sviazi [Dynamics of Daytime and Nighttime Population as an Indicator of Structural and Functional Changes in the Territory of the City in the Zone of Influence of the Moscow Central Ring Using Data from Cellular Operators], Kontury global’nykh transformatsii: politika, ekonomika, pravo [Contours of Global Transformations: Politics, Economics, Law], 2020, Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 159–179. (In Russ.).
24. Zakon goroda Moskvy ot 5 maia 2010 goda № 17 “O General’nom plane goroda Moskvy” [Law of the City of Moscow dated May 5, 2010 No. 17 “On the General Plan of the City of Moscow”], Kompleks gradostroitel’noi politiki i stroitel’stva g. Moskvy [Complex of Urban Planning Policy and Construction of Moscow]. (In Russ.). Available at: https://stroi.mos.ru/generalnyi-plan-razvitiya-moskvy/oficialnye-dokumenty (accessed 01 June 2022)
25. Popov A.A. Geografiia pokupok zhiloi nedvizhimosti v stroiashchikhsia domakh v Moskovskom regione v 2010-e gody [Geography of Purchases of Residential Real Estate in Houses Under Construction in the Moscow Region in the 2010s], Staraia i Novaia Moskva: tendentsii i problemy razvitiia [Old and New Moscow: Trends and Development Problems]. Moscow, IP Matushkina I.I., 2018, pp. 159–183. (In Russ.).
Review
For citations:
Badina S.V., Babkin R.A., Skobeev N.M. New Housing Construction as a Factor of Increasing the Vulnerability of Large Cities Population to Natural and Man-Made Hazards. Federalism. 2022;27(2):159-176. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2073-1051-2022-2-159-176