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FISCAL POLICY OF RUSSIA IN THE PERIOD OF ECONOMIC GROWTH SLOWDOWN AND THE RESULTS OF 2018

https://doi.org/10.21686/2073-1051-2019-1-86-99

Abstract

Traditionally, one of the objectives of fiscal policy is smoothing the effects of fluctuations in business activity. In this connection, in the periods of recession, there should be a stimulating policy, and in the periods of recovery – restraining policy. Fiscal policy in Russia, as it’s shown in the article, is primarily procyclical. During the 2015 recession, according to the  calculations using multipliers, government spending contributed to the reduction of GDP rather than to the support of its growth. Later, despite a significant increase in the revenues of the expanded government budget and the shift in priorities from defense and security financing to social sphere, the effect of the increase in budget expenditures turned out to be negative. The article also discusses the state of the budget sphere following the results of 2018, which showed the restoration of economic growth.

About the Author

I. S. Bukina
Federal State Budgetary Institution of Science Institute of Economics of Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

BUKINA Irina S. Cand. Sc. (Econ.), Senior Researcher

32, Nakhimovsky Av., Moscow, 117218



References

1. Vegh С.A. Fiscal Policy in Emerging Markets: Procyclicality and Graduation // NBER Reporter. 2015. Iss. 4. P. 8—12.

2. Batini N., Eyraud L., Weber A. A Simple Method to Compute Fiscal Multipliers / IMF. 2014. WP/14/93, P. 1—33.

3. Эффективность госрасходов в России / Центр макроэкономических исследований Сбербанка России. 13.01.2011. — 18 с.


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For citations:


Bukina I.S. FISCAL POLICY OF RUSSIA IN THE PERIOD OF ECONOMIC GROWTH SLOWDOWN AND THE RESULTS OF 2018. Federalism. 2019;(1):86-99. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2073-1051-2019-1-86-99

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ISSN 2073-1051 (Print)