FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION AND ITS RUSSIAN DIMENSION
Abstract
During the next 10 years, it’s not expected the formation of the universal and comprehensive system of trade and economic relations in Asia-pacific region. Moreover, at present it’s observed the presence of several main economic initiatives and strategies, applying for the role of the economic driver of the region. Among them - China’s initiative “Belt and Road”, Comprehensive Regional Economic Partnership and so on. Of important influence on the economic architecture of the Asia-Pacific region was the US withdrawal from the Trans- Pacific Partnership and the reorientation of Washington towards the conclusion of bilateral trade agreements. The authors illustrate the fragmentation of the Asia-Pacific region from the point of view of security institutions, universal for the Asian region, and the impossibility of their formation in the short-term and medium-term perspective. The article is devoted to the study and forecasting of socio-economic and political processes in the Asia-Pacific region.
About the Authors
V. V. Mikheev
Federal State budgetary Institute of Science Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, RAS (IMEMO)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
MIKHEEV Vasily V., Dr. Sc. (Econ.), Academician of RAS, Deputy Director
23, Profsoyuznaya Str., Moscow, 117997
S. V. Ignatev
Federal State budgetary Institute of Science Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
IGNATEV Sergei V., Junior Research Fellow
23, Profsoyuznaya Str., Moscow, 117997
References
1. Линь Ифу: Открываются новые возможности сотрудничества в сфере строительства инфраструктуры Китая и США // Синьхуа. 06.01.2017. URL: http://russian.news.cn/2017-01/06/c_135961461.htm
2. Presidential Memorandum Regarding Withdrawal of the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership Negotiations and Agreement // The White House Official Website. 23.01.2017. URL: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/presidential-memorandum-regarding-withdrawal-united-states-trans-pacific-partnership-negotiations-agreement/
3. Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP-11) // Australian Government Official Website. URL: http://dfat.gov.au/trade/agreements/not-yet-in-force/tpp-11/official-documents/Documents/tpp-11-treaty-text.pdf
4. 共建“一带一路”：理念、实践与中国的贡献 [Building the Belt and Road: Concept, Practice and China’s Contribution (In Chin.)] // Xinhua. 2017. URL: http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2017-05/10/c_1120951928.htm
5. “一带一路” 建设海上合作设想 [Vision for Maritime Cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative (In Chin.)]. State Council of the People’s Republic of China. 2017. URL: http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2017-06/20/content_5203985.htm
6. 中国的北极政策 [China’s Arctic Policy (In Chin.)] / The State Council Information Office of the People’s Republic of China. 2018. URL: http://www.scio.gov.cn/zfbps/32832/Document/1618203/1618203.htm
7. Прогноз стратегий стран транстихоокеанского пространства / под ред. В.В. Михеева, В.Г. Швыдко. М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2017. 83 с.
8. Lee Jae-Young. The New Northern Policy and Korean-Russian Cooperation // Valdai Papers. 2017. URL: http://valdaiclub.com/files/16143/
9. National Security Strategy of the United States of America // The White House Official Website. 2017. URL: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf
10. 国务院关于印发《中国制造2025》的通知 [The State Council Published «Made in China — 2025» Announcement (In Chin.)] / The State Council Information Office of the People’s Republic of China. 28.05.2015. URL: http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/2015-05/19/content_9784.htm
11. Ng T. The Main Barriers to a US-China Trade Deal: from US$200 Billion Deficit Cuts to Better Market Access // South China Morning Post. 04.05.2018. URL: http://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy-defence/article/2144770/main-barriers-us-china-trade-deal-us200bn-deficit-cuts
12. Yoon Y.J., Kim J., Kwon H.J., Kim W. Trump Administration’s Trade Policy Toward China // World Economy Brief — KIEP Korea Institute International Economic Policy. 2018. Vol. 8. № 9.
13. Stecklow S., Freifeld K., Jiang S. U.S. Ban on Sales to China’s ZTE Opens Fresh Front as Tensions Escalate // Reuters. 16.04.2018. URL: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-zte/u-s-ban-on-sales-to-chinas-zte-opens-fresh-front-as-tensions-escalate-idUSKBN1HN1P1
14. US Slaps ‘America First’ Tariffs on Washing Machines and Solar Panels // BBC News. 23.01.2018. URL: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-42784380
15. Прогноз стратегий стран транстихоокеанского пространства / под ред. В.В. Михеева, В.Г. Швыдко. М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2017. 83 с.
16. Канаев Е.А. АСЕАН и Четвертая промышленная революция // Юго-Восточная Азия: актуальные проблемы развития, 2017. № 36. С. 11—23.
17. Full Text of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s Keynote Speech at the World Economic Forum in 2017 // Xinhua. 06.04.2017. URL: http://www.china.org.cn/node_7247529/content_40569136.htm
18. Ломанов А.В. Новые концепции китайской внешней политики // Азия и Африка сегодня. 2017. № 12. С. 8—18.
19. Резолюция XIX Всекитайского съезда КПК по проекту пересмотренного Устава КПК // Синьхуа. 24.10.2017. URL: http://russian.news.cn/2017-10/24/c_136703044.htm
20. Crisis and New Political Agenda for the Korean Peninsula and the Regional Powers / eds. V. Mikheev, A. Fedorovsky. — Moscow: IMEMO, 2018. URL: https://www.imemo.ru/files/File/en/publ/2018/2018_001.pdf
Review
For citations:
Mikheev V.V., Ignatev S.V. FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION AND ITS RUSSIAN DIMENSION. Federalism. 2018;(2):97-111. (In Russ.)
Views:
530
Email this article 