Consolidated Budgets of the Subjects of the Russian Federation in the First Half of 2023. Budget Risks are Increasing
https://doi.org/10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-76-90
Abstract
The performance of the consolidated budgets of the subjects of the Russian Federation in the first half of this year was characterized by real growth rates of income taxreceipts and only nominal growth personal income tax receipts.The increase in federal transfer receipts was partly determined by the financing of the budgets of the new regions of the Russian Federation. In addition to the growth of economic activity, the dynamics of own revenues of regional budgets in the first half of the year was influenced by factors such as the cancellation of income tax payments within consolidated groups of taxpayers and the accelerated procedure for personal income tax reimbursement.
The growth of expenditures of regional budgets lagged behind the growth of revenues, but significantly outpaced last year’s figures, which resulted in a reduction in the surplus of subfederal budgets compared to the previous year. The trend towards an increase in the volume of state and municipal debt has continued against the background of an increase in debt to the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. The growth of public debt is taking place both in relatively prosperous regions and in problematic ones. The reduction in the volume of debt obligations by individual subjects of the Russian Federation cannot yet change the overall picture. The approved law on the federal budget for 2024 and subsequent years assumes a reduction in federal support for regional budgets against the background of an increase in spending needs and contains significant risks for the execution of sub-federal budgets.
About the Author
L. N. LykovaRussian Federation
LYKOVA Lyudmila N. Dr. Sc. (Econ.), Professor; Chief Researcher
32, Nakhimovsky Av., Moscow, 117218
References
1. Kuznetsova O.V. Transformatsiia prostranstvennoi struktury ekonomiki v krizisnye i postkrizisnye periody [Transformation of the Spatial Structure of the Economy in Crisis and Post-Crisis Periods], Region: ekonomika i sotsiologiia [Region: Economics and Sociology], 2022, No. 2, pp. 33–57. (In Russ.).
2. Mikheeva N.N. Ustoichivost’ rossiiskikh regionov k ekonomicheskim shokam [Stability of Russian Regions to Economic Shocks], Problemy prognozirovaniia [Problems of Forecasting], 2021, No. 1, pp. 116–118. (In Russ.).
3. Uskova T.V., Kuvalin D.B., Lukin E.V., Shirokova E.Iu., Zinchenko Iu.V. Proizvodstvennyi sektor ekonomiki Severo-Zapada Rossii: problemy adaptatsii i perspektivy funktsionirovaniia v usloviiakh sanktsii [The Production Sector of the Economy of North-West Russia: Problems of Adaptation and Prospects for Functioning Under Sanctions], Problemy razvitiia territorii [Problems of Territory Development], 2022, Vol. 26, No. 6, pp. 7–28. (In Russ.).
4. Kuznetsova O.V. Novye zakonomernosti v sovremennoi dinamike sotsial’noekonomicheskogo razvitiia regionov Rossii [New Patterns in the Modern Dynamics of Socio-Economic Development of Russian Regions], Regional’nye issledovaniia [Regional Studies], 2023, No. 1 (79), pp.19–30. (In Russ.).
5. Otchet ob ispolnenii konsolidirovannogo biudzheta Rossiiskoi Federatsii i biudzhetov gosudarstvennykh vnebiudzhetnykh fondov na 1 iiulia 2023 g. [Report on the Execution of the Consolidated Budget of the Russian Federation and the Budgets of State Extra-Budgetary Funds as of July 1, 2023], Federal’noe kaznacheistvo [Federal Treasury]. (In Russ.). Available at: https://roskazna.gov.ru/ispolnenie-byudzhetov/konsolidirovannyj-byudzhet/191/ (accessed 10 November 2023).
6. Otchet ob ispolnenii konsolidirovannogo biudzheta Rossiiskoi Federatsii i biudzhetov gosudarstvennykh vnebiudzhetnykh fondov na 1 iiulia 2022 g. [Report on the Execution of the Consolidated Budget of the Russian Federation and the Budgets of State Extra-Budgetary Funds as of July 1, 2022], Federal’noe kaznacheistvo [Federal Treasury]. (In Russ.). Available at: https://roskazna.gov.ru/ispolnenie-byudzhetov/konsolidirovannyj-byudzhet/191/ (accessed 10 November 2023).
7. Otchet o nachislenii i postuplenii nalogov, sborov, strakhovykh vznosov i inykh obiazatel’ny platezhei. Forma №1-NP na 1 iiulia 2022 g. [Report on the Accrual and Receipt of Taxes, Fees, Insurance Premiums and Other Mandatory Payments. Form No. 1-NP for July 1, 2022], Federal’naia nalogovaia sluzhba [Federal Tax Service]. (In Russ.). Available at: https://www.nalog.gov.ru/rn77/related_activities/statistics_and_analytics/forms/11912732/ (accessed 16 September 2023).
8. Otchet o nachislenii i postuplenii nalogov, sborov, strakhovykh vznosov i inykh obiazatel’ny platezhei. Forma №1-NP na 1 iiulia 2023 g. [Report on the Accrual and Receipt of Taxes, Fees, Insurance Premiums and Other Mandatory Payments. Form No. 1-NP for July 1, 2023], Federal’naia nalogovaia sluzhba [Federal Tax Service]. (In Russ.). Available at: https://www.nalog.gov.ru/rn77/related_activities/statistics_and_analytics/forms/13669389/ (accessed 16 September 2023).
Review
For citations:
Lykova L.N. Consolidated Budgets of the Subjects of the Russian Federation in the First Half of 2023. Budget Risks are Increasing. Federalism. 2023;28(4):76-90. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-76-90